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) ناشی از بارش موثر برآورد و نقشه پتانسیل سیل‌خیزی حوزه ترسیم گردید. از مجموع مساحت حوزه، 25/68 درصد آن دارای پتانسیل سیل‌خیزی نرمال، 5/25 درصد بحرانی، 25/6 درصد دارای پتانسیل سیل‌خیزی فوق بحرانی است. شهرستان‌های چناران و مشهد، پتانسیل سیل‌خیز بالاتری نسبت به سایر شهرستان‌ها دارند. از مجموع حدود 658 روستا، آبادی و مرکز جمعیتی مورد شناسایی درحوزه، 78 درصد روستاها دلیل قرارگیری در مناطق دشتی وکم شیب در پهنه‌هایی با پتانسیل سیل‌خیزی نرمال، 17درصد روستاها در پهنههای با پتانسیل سیل‌خیزی بحرانی و 5 درصد روستاهای حوزه بدلیل قرارگرفتن در مناطق مرتفع و شیبدار در پهنههای با پتانسیل سیل‌خیزی فوق بحرانی قرار دارند
