Volume 9, Issue 17 (9-2018)
jwmr 2018, 9(17): 295-305 |
Back to browse issues page
Download citation:
BibTeX | RIS | EndNote | Medlars | ProCite | Reference Manager | RefWorks
Send citation to:
BibTeX | RIS | EndNote | Medlars | ProCite | Reference Manager | RefWorks
Send citation to:
Majidi A, Radfar M, Mirabbasi Najafabadi R, Marofi S. (2018). "Technical Report"
Trend Analysis of Meteorological Drought Characteristics in Hamedan Province
. jwmr. 9(17), 295-305. doi:10.29252/jwmr.9.17.295
URL: http://jwmr.sanru.ac.ir/article-1-435-en.html
URL: http://jwmr.sanru.ac.ir/article-1-435-en.html
Shahrekord University
Abstract: (3338 Views)
The purpose of this study is analyzing the trend of drought characteristics in Hamedan Province In this regard, the corrected standardized precipitation index (SPImod) was calculated based on the monthly precipitation data from 11 synoptic and rain gauge stations during the period of 1985-2013. Drought characteristics, including severity, duration and interarrival time were defined and extracted based on the SPImod. The Sen’s estimator was used to estimate the slopes of trend lines. The results show that in most of the stations, drought duration had a non-significant decreasing trend, while the drought severity in over half of the stations had a non-significant decreasing trend. The drought interarrival time witnessed a non-significant decreasing trend in all of the stations, except at the Varayeneh station, which experienced a significant increasing trend at 1%. The monthly rainfall experienced a non-significant increasing trend in most of the stations except Keyto which experienced a non-significant decreasing trend.
Type of Study: Research |
Subject:
بلايای طبيعی (سيل، خشکسالی و حرکت های توده ای)
Received: 2015/02/16 | Revised: 2018/09/26 | Accepted: 2016/04/11 | Published: 2018/09/26
Received: 2015/02/16 | Revised: 2018/09/26 | Accepted: 2016/04/11 | Published: 2018/09/26
References
1. 1 Ansari, M., G. Noori and S. Fotohi. 2016. Investigation of temperature precipitation and flow trend using nonparametric Mankendall (Case study: Kaju river in sistan and baluchestan). Journal of Watershed Management Research, 7(14): 152-158 (In Persian). [DOI:10.29252/jwmr.7.14.158]
2. 2 Abramowitz, M. and I.A. Stegun. 1965. Handbook of Mathematical Functions with Formulas, Graphs, and Mathematical Tables. (eds.), Dover Publications, 1046 pp. Inc., New York, USA.
3. 3 Dashtpagerdi, M.M., M.R. Kousari, H. Ahani Kousari, M.R. Hosseini, M.E.H. Vagharfard and D. Ghonchepour. 2014. An investigation of drought magnitude trend during 1975-2005 in arid and semi-arid regions of Iranian Journal of Earth Sciences, DOI 10.1007/s12665-014-3477-1 [DOI:10.1007/s12665-014-3477-1]
4. 4 Douglas, E.M., R.M. Vogel and C.N. Kroll. 2000. Trends in floods and low flows in the United States: Impact of spatial correlation. Journal of Hydrology, 240: 90-105. [DOI:10.1016/S0022-1694(00)00336-X]
5. 5 Dinpashoh, Y., R. Mirabbasi Najafabadi, D. Jhajharia, H. Zare Abianeh and A. Mostafaeipour. 2014. Effect of short term and long-term persistence on identification of temporal trends. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 19(3): 617-625. [DOI:10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0000819]
6. 6 Gudmundsson, L. and S.I. Seneviratne. 2015. European drought trends. IAHS, 369:75-79, 2015 [DOI:10.5194/piahs-369-75-2015]
7. 7 Hamed, K.H. and A.R. Rao. 1998. A modified Mann-Kendall trend test for auto correlated data. Journal of Hydrology, 204: 182-196. [DOI:10.1016/S0022-1694(97)00125-X]
8. 8 Kao, S.C. and R.S. Govindaraju. 2010. A copula-based joint deficit index for droughts. Journal of Hydrology, 380: 121-134. [DOI:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.10.029]
9. 9 Kendall, M.G. 1975. Rank Correlation Measures. Charles Griffin, London
10. 10 Khoshravesh, M., M. Mirnaseri and M. Pesarakloo. 2017. Change Detection of Precipitation Trend of Northern Part of Iran using Mann-Kendall Non-Parametric Test. Journal of Watershed Management Research, 8(16): 223-231 (In Persian).
11. 11 Kumar, S., V. Merwade, J. Kam and K. Thurner. 2009. Streamflow trends in Indiana: Effects of long term persistence, precipitation and subsurface drains. Journal of Hydrology, 374(1-2): 171-183 [DOI:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.06.012]
12. 12 Lashni-zand, M. 2003. Consideration of severity, duration and frequency of climatic drought. Third Regional Conference and the First National Conference on Climate Change. Tehran University, 3(1): 257-266 (In Persian).
13. 13 Lettenmaier, D.P., E.F. Wood and J.R. Wallis. 1994. Hydro-climatological trends in the continental United States, 1948-88. Journal of Climate, 7: 586-607.
https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(1994)007<0586:HCTITC>2.0.CO;2 [DOI:10.1175/1520-0442(1994)0072.0.CO;2]
14. 14 Lioyd-Hunghes, B. and M.A. Saunders. 1998. Mediterranean terrestrial ecosystems: research patrollers on global change effects. Global Ecol Biogeography, 7: 157-166. [DOI:10.1046/j.1466-822X.1998.00277.x]
15. 15 Loukas, A. and L. Vasiliades. 2004. Probabilistic analysis of drought spatiotemporal characteristics in Thessaly region, Greece. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 4: 719-731. [DOI:10.5194/nhess-4-719-2004]
16. 16 Majidi, A.A., M. Radfar, R. Mirabbasi Najafabadi and S. Marofi. 2015. Assessment meteorological drought Ghahavand- Razan plain by drought indices. 9th National Conference on World Environment Day. University of Tehran, Mey 2015.Tehran, Iran (In Persian).
17. 17 Mahmoodi, A. and R. Mirabbasi Najafabadi. 2014. Comparison of the SPI, and SPI modified methods in diagnosis of drought occurred (Case Study: Dehdasht city, Kohkeloye and Bouyer Ahmad). 2th National Conference of water crisis, university of shahrekord, September 2014. Shahrekord, Iran (In Persian).
18. 18 Mann, H.B. 1945. Non-parametric tests against trend. Econometrica, 13, MathSci Net, pp: 245-259. [DOI:10.2307/1907187]
19. 19 McKee, T.B., N.J. Doeskin and J. Kleist. 1993. The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales, in Proceedings of the 8th Conference on Applied Climatology, 179-184, January 17-22, Anaheim, California.
20. 20 Mirabbasi Najafabadi, R. and Y. Dinpashoh. 2010. Trend analysis of stream flow across the north west of iran in recent three decades. Journal of Water and Soil, 24: 757-768 (In Persian).
21. 21 .Mirabbasi Najafabadi, R. and Y. Dinpashoh. 2012. Trend analysis of precipitation of NW of Iran over the past half of the century. Irrigation Sciences and Engineering, 35(4): 59-73 (In Persian).
22. 22 Mirabbasi Najafabadi R., A. Fakheri-Fard, Y. Dinpashoh and S.S. Eslamian. 2014. Longterm Drought monitoring of Urmia using Joint Deficit Index (JDI). Water and Soil Science, 35(4): 87-103 (In Persian). [DOI:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.04.019]
23. 23 Mirabbasi, R., A. Fakheri-Fard and Y. Dinpashoh. 2012. Bivariate drought frequency analysis using the Copula method. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 108: 191-206. [DOI:10.1007/s00704-011-0524-7]
24. 24 Mishra, A.K. and V.P. Singh. 2010. A review of drought concepts. Journal of Hydrology, 391: 202-216. [DOI:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.07.012]
25. 25 Mishra, A.K., V.P. Singh and V.R. Desai. 2009. Drought characterization: a probabilistic approach. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 23: 41-55. [DOI:10.1007/s00477-007-0194-2]
26. 26 Moradi, H.R., M. Rajabi and M. Faragzadeh. 2007. Trend analysis and spatial characteristics of droughts intensity in Fars province. Iranian Journal of Range and Desert Research, 14: 97-109 (In Persian).
27. 27 Partal, T. and E. Kahya. 2006. Trend analysis in Turkish precipitation data. Hydological Processes, 20: 2011-2026. [DOI:10.1002/hyp.5993]
28. 28 Rahmat, S., N. Jayasuriya and M. Bhuiyan. 2012. 'Trend analysis of drought using standard precipitation index (SPI) in Victoria, Australia', in Dr Seth Westra (ed.) 34th Hydrology & Water Resources Symposium , pp: 441-448, Sydney, Australia.
29. 29 Sen, P.K. 1968. Estimates of the regression coefficients based on Kendall's tau. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 63: 1379-1389. [DOI:10.1080/01621459.1968.10480934]
30. 30 Shadmani, M., S. Marofi, K. Mohammadi and A.A. Sabziparvar. 2010. Regional modeling of flood discharge in Hamedan Province. Journal of Soil and Water Conservation, 18(40): 21-42 (In Persian).
31. 31 Shiau, J.T. 2006. Fitting drought duration and severity with two-dimensional copulas. Water Resources Management, 20: 795-815 [DOI:10.1007/s11269-005-9008-9]
32. 32 Shiau, J.T. and R. Modarres. 2009. Copula based drought severity-duration frequency analysis in Iran. Meteorological Applications, 16: 481-489. [DOI:10.1002/met.145]
33. 33 Sonmez, F.K., A.U. Komuscu, A. Erkan and E. Turgu. 2005. An analysis of spatial and temporal dimension of drought vulnerability in Turkey using the standardized precipitation index. Natural Hazards, 35: 243-264. [DOI:10.1007/s11069-004-5704-7]
34. 34 Wilhite, D.A. 2000. Drought as a Natural Hazard: Concepts and Definitions. Drought: A Global Assessment. UK. pp: 3-18., Routledge, London.
35. 35 Wilhite, D.A. and M.H. Glantz. 1985. The Drought Phenomenon: The Role of Definitions. Water International, 10(3): 111-120. [DOI:10.1080/02508068508686328]
36. 36 Wu, H., M.J. Hayes, D.A. Wilhite and M.D. Svoboda. 2005. The effect of the length of record on the standardized precipitation index calculation. International Journal of Climatology, 25: 505-520. [DOI:10.1002/joc.1142]
37. 37 Wu, H., M.D. Svoboda, M.J. Hayes, D.A Wilhite and F. Wen. 2007. Appropriate application of the standardized precipitation index in arid locations and dry seasons. International Journal of Climatology, 27: 65-79. [DOI:10.1002/joc.1371]
38. 38 Yasavol Hoseini, A., F. Bostani, S. Shamsnia and A. Fakheri-fard. 2009. Consideration of severity, duration and frequency of hydrological drought using Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI). The National Conference on Water Crisis Management, Marvdasht, Fars (In Persian).
39. 39 Zhang, X., L.A. Vincent, W.D. Hogg and A. Niitsoo. 2000. Temperature and precipitation trends in Canada during the 20th century. Atmosphere-Ocean, 38: 395-429. [DOI:10.1080/07055900.2000.9649654]
Send email to the article author
| Rights and permissions | |
 |
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License. |
